Betting on football is likely the most well-known form of betting that one can dream of, and there are nearly several strategies available as are punters, I’d suggest.
There are more traditional types of punters, there are punters who like to play around with their betting strategies every day, but there’s also something that basically everybody has looked for at least once prior to placing a football bet – statistics.
While relying entirely on statistics is a controversial strategy and probably one of the most rigid methods but it is an effective strategy that will only benefit whatever the bigger picture.
In this brief article I will take a look at the most important statistics, which in this day and age are extremely easy to locate on the internet.
Form, Tables, Injuries, and Form
There are, naturally, the most basic and obvious statistics one can examine before starting to study the results of a football match.
Even when you know nothing about a team, you can have a pretty decent idea of what this team is about solely from its previous performances and where it is in the league.
I’m far from concluding that one should back one team because it is placed higher than another team but the more thorough examination of tables and form cannot be completed without knowing the fundamentals. Betting School
It is even more to say that, while tables are useful for learning about leagues and teams in modern football or English football to be more specific, judging a book according to its appearance or a team’s position by how it is positioned can lead to the most straightforward path to heavy losses. This is not the case with regard to form.
Though any team could suffer from short-term losses in form at any point in the season, cross-referencing the season expectations, injury information and performance is a reasonable way to make an educated guess about how a certain team would be performing in the forthcoming fixtures.
Unfortunately all that means additional research and work to play single games. But I can claim by experience that people do like to be convinced of certain conclusions through doing that additional effort and becoming more scholarly about their bets.
Speaking of science, the shape contains a more extensive layer that is easier to study and is the opposition strength.
For a team to be described as being in good form from a betting perspective, it is not sufficient just to win three or more games in succession, but it must also have beaten opponents or teams directly.
How In Form Are The Team Really?
A team with form of WWW might have played two cup matches against lower league opposition and the bottom team. You must dig further.
It is useless to say that the favourite who is the most popular was equally heavily defeated 3:0. Bookies were also defeated by this more scientific approach , and a better understanding of the word ‘form’.
I remember that team ending with a mid-table finish towards the end of the season, just in the place that the preseason forecast had it projected to close.
Never mind what happens for a brief period of 3-4 weeks in a 9-10 month long season The consistency matters the most, and laying teams that just never look likely to be consistent can be a good way to locate a good value bet.
Deeper Statistics, Shots, Possession
Since most punters do not really have the time for lengthy analysis, certain important statistics remain unexplored and that could be one of the reasons certain bets fail despite looking rock solid.
The league tables and the form are only the beginning of the iceberg with the strength of the opposition and form going slightly under the surface however the actual statistic of the game could give an accurate picture of the performance of certain teams and players over long period of time. Online Football Betting with เว็บแทงบอล
Possession and the number of shots are the first two pieces of information I consider when making bets in play however it’s not just at this point that they can be of use.
It is well-known that in modern football, the ability teams to hold possession and create good chances is what makes them favourites So it shouldn’t be a surprise to observe that more often than often, bookmakers react to these statistics by reducing certain odds on certain teams during what are referred to as ‘close games’.
If teams have more access to the ball, they have more opportunities to be creative, which is why I look at possession along with the numbers of shots as well as shots that are on target.
Possession Statistics
I compare possession statistics to shots on target to evaluate the previous games.
If a team dominates the ball and puts up more shots in each game, and then wins these games, it’s evident that this team will be the most popular and rightfully so.
While at the same time there are the popular in the market who could be receiving 60% possession however they only manage 2-3 shots on target or have win streaks that include many 1:0s.
I’m sure Leicester won this year’s Premier League with a string of such narrow wins , and the majority of them were opposed to possession, but if we took the time to analyze the stats of their rivals and draw conclusions, it would be that most times the Foxes were only allowed a couple of shots on target.
They were on the wrong side against rivals like Crystal Palace, Southampton and even relegated Newcastle but still came out on top. this example should serve us well to see how such defensive efficiency is observed by focusing on possession and shots on target.
Naturally, the results of my own observations may be read differently and it is up to the punter on his own to make their own judgments about teams, teams, streaks of performance and importance of possession, but the obvious consensus is that these kinds of statistics will help us determine whether to trigger an bet or to look elsewhere.
League Statistics, Goals, Draws, History
Back to the tip of our iceberg. We also have the standard league statistics and some of them contribute to finding value on the more obscure markets.
I look at basic things as the average number of goals scored in games, the average number of draws, or historical data about leagues as the base for selecting games from countries I don’t have a lot of knowledge about.
Historical data could be misleading as players, teams and season profiles change, however, an league isn’t able to go from being highly competitive to totally biased with just 2-3 favorites in just a few years or more.
What I mean by highly competitive leagues is where teams are balanced and have more draws, or even better, more surprising outsider wins. Financial Trading
While they’re certainly fascinating However, they can be difficult to figure out and will require more time in figuring out the dynamics.
As for goals, it’s not possible to expect to see a league where the majority of teams have averaged less than 2 goals a game for the past three or four seasons, or rarely have more than five shots on target a game to suddenly change into an extremely scoring league.
It is worthwhile to watch them since they’re very consistent for long periods of time and even if your haven’t played a lot with them in the past, you might be drawn to the potential of certain markets but not knowing why they are so.
French League 2 is what immediately comes to mind , as I have been doing a lot of work and even written about French League 2 in the past.
This league has been making unders on the market for quite a while and bookies value those unders accordingly.
Historical Data
Retrospectively looking back on the last five seasons of a certain league could yield benefits with regard to statistics.
Finally, even though historical data on leagues is useful and interesting to look at however, the data from teams’ historical records are what I would consider to be a double-edged weapon.
I’ve heard and even used the argument that a team is doing historically well against another team, but this argument is only true in the absence of teams going through significant adjustments.
Surely up until 2010 Man City were often historically lost to Tottenham However, Man City took eight wins from the following nine games of this rivalry.
It’s yet another problem of cross-referencing as well as being up-to-date with team and even organisation the dynamics of your organisation.
In the lower leagues , it is harder to say for certain but this is part of the punter’s job.